Karol Rosa vs Tonya Evinger
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
19-8-0Record19-8-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'7"
67"Reach39,0"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Parana Vale TudoTeamW4R Training Center
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1659
If they lose-12→ 1635
If they win+12→ 1668
If they lose-12→ 1644
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1634 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1615 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Karol RosaTonya Evinger
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Karol Rosa70%
Tonya Evinger 30%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Karol Rosa a 70% favorite over Tonya Evinger in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Tonya Evinger's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1647 vs 1656), separated by just 9 points.
Tonya Evinger enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Karol Rosa finishes 32% of wins inside the distance, Tonya Evinger 79%.
Karol Rosa and Tonya Evinger share 4 common opponents: Pannie Kianzad, Irene Aldana, Yana Santos and Lina Länsberg.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.