Karolina Kowalkiewicz vs Randa Markos
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
16-10-0Record11-11-1
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'3"Height5'5"
64"ReachTBD
116 lbsWeight115 lbs
American Top TeamTeamMichigan Top Team
What's at stake
Karolina Kowalkiewicz is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Randa Markos carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+9→ 1640
If they lose-15→ 1616
If they win+19→ 1576
If they lose-13→ 1544
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1627 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1634 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Karolina KowalkiewiczRanda Markos
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Karolina Kowalkiewicz66%
Randa Markos 34%Elo baseline: 60%
The Combat Edge model makes Karolina Kowalkiewicz a 66% favorite over Randa Markos in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).
Karolina Kowalkiewicz holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1631 to 1557, a 74-point edge.
Karolina Kowalkiewicz enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Karolina Kowalkiewicz finishes 25% of wins inside the distance, Randa Markos 36%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.