Combat Edge Intelligence

Karolina Kowalkiewicz vs Silvana Gómez Juárez

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

16-10-0Record11-6-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'3"Height5'3"
64"Reach65"
116 lbsWeight116 lbs
American Top TeamTeamEntram Gym

What's at stake

Karolina Kowalkiewicz is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Silvana Gómez Juárez carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Karolina KowalkiewiczNow 1631
If they win+9→ 1640
If they lose-15→ 1616
Silvana Gómez JuárezNow 1547
If they win+20→ 1567
If they lose-12→ 1535

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1627 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1547 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.54
Sig. strikes / min
4.26
43%
Strike accuracy
32%
5.51
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.04
58%
Strike defense
62%
0.31
Takedown avg.
0
23%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
75%
Takedown defense
30%
0.19
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Karolina KowalkiewiczSilvana Gómez Juárez
1550160016502022202320242025

Win method breakdown

1 (6%)
KO/TKO
7 (64%)
3 (19%)
Submission
2 (18%)
12 (75%)
Decision
2 (18%)

Combat Edge model read

Karolina Kowalkiewicz62%
Silvana Gómez Juárez 38%Elo baseline: 62%

The Combat Edge model makes Karolina Kowalkiewicz a 62% favorite over Silvana Gómez Juárez in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (62%).

Karolina Kowalkiewicz holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1631 to 1547, a 84-point edge.

Karolina Kowalkiewicz enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Silvana Gómez Juárez enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Karolina Kowalkiewicz finishes 25% of wins inside the distance, Silvana Gómez Juárez 82%.

Karolina Kowalkiewicz and Silvana Gómez Juárez share 1 common opponent: Vanessa Demopoulos.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

WinDecision - Unanimous · 2023
Vanessa Demopoulos
LossSubmission · 2022