Karolina Kowalkiewicz vs Vanessa Demopoulos
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
16-10-0Record11-8-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'3"Height5'2"
64"Reach 59"
116 lbsWeight115 lbs
American Top TeamTeamFactory X
What's at stake
Karolina Kowalkiewicz is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Vanessa Demopoulos carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+10→ 1641
If they lose-14→ 1617
If they win+18→ 1595
If they lose-14→ 1563
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1627 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1619 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Karolina KowalkiewiczVanessa Demopoulos
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Karolina Kowalkiewicz60%
Vanessa Demopoulos 40%Elo baseline: 58%
The Combat Edge model makes Karolina Kowalkiewicz a 60% favorite over Vanessa Demopoulos in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).
Karolina Kowalkiewicz holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1631 to 1577, a 54-point edge.
Karolina Kowalkiewicz enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Vanessa Demopoulos enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Karolina Kowalkiewicz finishes 25% of wins inside the distance, Vanessa Demopoulos 45%.
Karolina Kowalkiewicz and Vanessa Demopoulos share 1 common opponent: Silvana Gómez Juárez.
Karolina Kowalkiewicz carries a 5-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.