Karolina Kowalkiewicz vs Xiaonan Yan
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
16-10-0Record19-6-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'3"Height5'5"
64"Reach63"
116 lbsWeight115 lbs
American Top TeamTeamTeam Alpha Male· 1645 avg Elo · 20 rated
What's at stake
Xiaonan Yan is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Karolina Kowalkiewicz carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1646
If they lose-9→ 1622
If they win+12→ 1725
If they lose-20→ 1693
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1627 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1710 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Karolina KowalkiewiczXiaonan Yan
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Xiaonan Yan76%
Karolina Kowalkiewicz 24%Elo baseline: 62%
The Combat Edge model makes Xiaonan Yan a 76% favorite over Karolina Kowalkiewicz in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (62%).
Xiaonan Yan holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1713 to 1631, a 82-point edge.
Karolina Kowalkiewicz enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Xiaonan Yan enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Karolina Kowalkiewicz finishes 25% of wins inside the distance, Xiaonan Yan 47%.
Karolina Kowalkiewicz and Xiaonan Yan share 1 common opponent: Denise Gomes.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.