Karomatullo Sufiev vs Piotr Niedzielski
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
13-1-0Record22-10-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'9"Height5'8"
TBDReachTBD
155 lbsWeight170 lbs
Sambo MixTeamCzerwony Smok· 1631 avg Elo · 3 rated
What's at stake
Karomatullo Sufiev is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Piotr Niedzielski carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+12→ 1720
If they lose-20→ 1688
If they win+15→ 1637
If they lose-9→ 1613
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1535 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1540 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Karomatullo SufievPiotr Niedzielski
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Karomatullo Sufiev68%
Piotr Niedzielski 32%Elo baseline: 62%
The Combat Edge model makes Karomatullo Sufiev a 68% favorite over Piotr Niedzielski in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (62%).
Karomatullo Sufiev holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1708 to 1622, a 86-point edge.
Karomatullo Sufiev enters on a 7-fight win streak.
Karomatullo Sufiev finishes 54% of wins inside the distance, Piotr Niedzielski 59%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.