Karomatullo Sufiev vs Piotr Niedzielski

Nov 7, 2026 · FNC.TV

Combat Edge model forecast82%Karomatullo Sufiev18%Piotr NiedzielskiFull forecast and your pick

DateNov 7, 2026

DivisionFight card

StatusScheduled

VenueSportski Centar Morača

BroadcastFNC.TV

Start times & how to watch

Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Saturday, November 7, 2026 — watch on FNC.TV.

US East (ET): Sat 12:30 PM
US West (PT): Sat 9:30 AM
United Kingdom: Sat 5:30 PM
Central Europe: Sat 6:30 PM
Australia (Sydney): Sun 4:30 AM
Your time

Karomatullo Sufiev13-1-0Karomatullo Sufiev vs Piotr NiedzielskiPiotr NiedzielskiNiedziela |22-10-0

Karomatullo Sufiev13-1-0

Fight Overview

RoundTBD

TimeTBD

13-1-0Record22-10-0

31Age35

5'9"Height5'8"

TBDReachTBD

155 lbsWeight170 lbs

Fight cardWeight ClassFight card

Piotr NiedzielskiNiedziela22-10-0

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Karomatullo Sufiev owns a 86-point Elo edge (good). Tracked UFC stat edges are limited for this matchup. There are no clean shared-opponent matches in tracked pro MMA history.

Compare Karomatullo Sufiev and Piotr Niedzielski across their careers →

Elo Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Karomatullo SufievPiotr Niedzielski

Recent form

Karomatullo SufievW W W W W · +71 Elo last 5

WWWWW

Piotr NiedzielskiL W L W L · -26 Elo last 5

LWLWL

Elo edge

Karomatullo Sufiev1708+12 last move

Piotr Niedzielski1622-12 last move

Why they are ranked here

Karomatullo Sufiev#68 of 458 active Lightweight fighters · 1708 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Manolo Zecchini (rated 1597 at the time): +23.
Costliest loss: Lost to Lee Hammond (rated 1500 at the time): -33.
Last 5 fights: 5 wins, 0 losses, +71 Elo in total.
Next places: 1 point behind #67 King Green, 1 ahead of #69 Pavel Gordeev.

Piotr Niedzielski#171 of 385 active Welterweight fighters · 1622 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Felipe Maia (rated 1438 at the time): +9.
Costliest loss: Lost to Yves Landu (rated 1541 at the time): -21.
Last 5 fights: 2 wins, 3 losses, -26 Elo in total.
Next places: 5 points behind #170 Sal Everett, 1 ahead of #172 Mayton Perea.

Every rated fight moves a rating by an amount set by the opponent's rating at the time, the result and how it ended. Places are counted among fighters active in the last 24 months. How the rating is calculated

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

Combat Edge Model

Fight forecast

Frozen pre-fight · v0.8-2026-10-04

82%Karomatullo Sufiev18%Piotr Niedzielski

Model favoriteKaromatullo Sufiev

Elo baseline62% for Karomatullo Sufiev

Matchup adjustment+20 pts vs Elo

Win probability computed before the fight from point-in-time Elo, records, and matchup data. The baseline shows what Elo alone expected; the adjustment is not a certainty. Analytics, not betting advice.

See all predictions →Back Karomatullo SufievStake

Forecast context

What separates the fighters

Model + Elo agree

Karomatullo Sufiev leads the full model at 82%. Elo agrees, and the complete matchup model strengthens that lean by 20 points.

Current Elo ratings1708 · 1622Karomatullo Sufiev leads by 86 rating points.

Recent opponent quality1535 · 1540Piotr Niedzielski faced the stronger recent schedule (10 vs 10 sampled fights).

Elo record depth14 · 31 fightsPiotr Niedzielski has the deeper counted Elo history.

Largest tracked stat edgesNot enough comparable dataNo advantage is inferred when the underlying records are incomplete.

What's at stake

Karomatullo SufievNow 1708 · #68 Lightweight

Wins by decision+12→ 1720

Loses by decision-20→ 1688

Piotr NiedzielskiNow 1622 · #171 Welterweight

Wins by decision+15→ 1637

Loses by decision-9→ 1613

What-if simulatorPremium

Pick the winner and how the fight ends to see both new ratings, both new division ranks, and who each fighter would pass.

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Projected with the same rules as the rankings, at today's ratings. Split decisions move ratings less and finishes more.

Stat advantages

Karomatullo SufievvsPiotr Niedzielski

No tracked UFC stat edge yet.

Finishing profile

Karomatullo Sufievdecision leads 46% of wins

Piotr Niedzielskidecision leads 41% of wins

Common opponents

No clean shared-opponent match found in tracked pro MMA history.

Tale of the tape

Karomatullo SufievPiotr Niedzielski

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not availableSig. strikes landed per minNot available

UFC lightweight average : 3.81

Not availableSig. strike accuracyNot available

UFC lightweight average : 46%

Not availableSig. strikes absorbed per minNot available

UFC lightweight average : 3.91

Not availableSig. strike defenseNot available

UFC lightweight average : 53%

Not availableTakedown averageNot available

UFC lightweight average : 1.67

Not availableTakedown accuracyNot available

UFC lightweight average : 28%

Not availableTakedown defenseNot available

UFC lightweight average : 58%

Not availableSubmission averageNot available

UFC lightweight average : 0.55

2Wins by knockout6

5Wins by submission7

6Wins by decision9

0Losses by knockout1

0Losses by submission2

1Losses by decision7

Karomatullo Sufiev vs Piotr Niedzielski is a scheduled Fight card fight on FNC 35 : ZDRAVKOVIC VS VARGAS. Karomatullo Sufiev enters with a 13-1-0 record and Piotr Niedzielski enters with a 22-10-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.