Kate Bacik vs Mafalda Carmona
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
8-3-0Record8-3-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'6"
69"Reach64.2"
130 lbsWeight135 lbs
Great Britain Top TeamTeamBulgarian Top Team· 1645 avg Elo · 3 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+15→ 1607
If they lose-17→ 1575
If they win+17→ 1598
If they lose-15→ 1566
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1500 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1495 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Kate BacikMafalda Carmona
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Kate Bacik57%
Mafalda Carmona 43%Elo baseline: 52%
The Combat Edge model makes Kate Bacik a 57% favorite over Mafalda Carmona in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1592 vs 1581), separated by just 11 points.
Kate Bacik enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Kate Bacik finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Mafalda Carmona 63%.
Kate Bacik carries a 5-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.