Katlyn Cerminara vs Liz Carmouche
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-6-0Record26-8-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'9"Height5'6"
68"Reach66"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Team Renzo GracieTeamThe Arena
What's at stake
Liz Carmouche is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Katlyn Cerminara carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1718
If they lose-10→ 1694
If they win+10→ 1761
If they lose-14→ 1737
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1678 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1607 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Katlyn CerminaraLiz Carmouche
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Katlyn Cerminara54%
Liz Carmouche 46%Elo baseline: 43%
The Combat Edge model makes Katlyn Cerminara a 54% favorite over Liz Carmouche in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Liz Carmouche's way (43%).
Liz Carmouche holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1751 to 1704, a 47-point edge.
Katlyn Cerminara enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Liz Carmouche enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Katlyn Cerminara finishes 17% of wins inside the distance, Liz Carmouche 69%.
Katlyn Cerminara and Liz Carmouche share 1 common opponent: Viviane Araujo.
Katlyn Cerminara carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.