Katlyn Cerminara vs Liz Carmouche
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-6-0Record26-8-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'9"Height5'6"
TBDReach66"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Team Renzo GracieTeamThe Arena
What's at stake
Liz Carmouche is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Katlyn Cerminara carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1726
If they lose-11→ 1702
If they win+11→ 1755
If they lose-13→ 1731
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1679 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1584 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Katlyn CerminaraLiz Carmouche
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Liz Carmouche70%
Katlyn Cerminara 30%Elo baseline: 54%
The Combat Edge model makes Liz Carmouche a 70% favorite over Katlyn Cerminara in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).
Liz Carmouche holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1744 to 1713, a 31-point edge.
Katlyn Cerminara enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Liz Carmouche enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Katlyn Cerminara finishes 17% of wins inside the distance, Liz Carmouche 69%.
Katlyn Cerminara and Liz Carmouche share 1 common opponent: Viviane Araujo.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.