Katlyn Cerminara vs Manon Fiorot
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-6-0Record13-2-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'9"Height5'7"
TBDReach65"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Team Renzo GracieTeamBoxing Squad
What's at stake
Manon Fiorot is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Katlyn Cerminara carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1726
If they lose-11→ 1702
If they win+14→ 1768
If they lose-18→ 1736
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1679 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1670 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Katlyn CerminaraManon Fiorot
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Manon Fiorot72%
Katlyn Cerminara 28%Elo baseline: 56%
The Combat Edge model makes Manon Fiorot a 72% favorite over Katlyn Cerminara in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).
Manon Fiorot holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1754 to 1713, a 41-point edge.
Katlyn Cerminara enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Katlyn Cerminara finishes 17% of wins inside the distance, Manon Fiorot 54%.
Katlyn Cerminara and Manon Fiorot share 2 common opponents: Jennifer Maia and Valentina Shevchenko.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Common opponents (2)
WinDecision (Unanimous) · 2022
WinDecision (unanimous) · 2019
WinDecision (unanimous) · 2022