Katlyn Cerminara vs Mara Romero Borella
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-6-0Record12-9-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'9"Height5'6"
68"Reach38,0"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Team Renzo GracieTeamAmerican Top Team
What's at stake
Katlyn Cerminara is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +6 while a loss costs more — Mara Romero Borella carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+6→ 1710
If they lose-18→ 1686
If they win+23→ 1554
If they lose-9→ 1522
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1678 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1594 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Katlyn CerminaraMara Romero Borella
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Katlyn Cerminara82%
Mara Romero Borella 18%Elo baseline: 73%
The Combat Edge model makes Katlyn Cerminara a 82% favorite over Mara Romero Borella in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (73%).
Katlyn Cerminara holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1704 to 1531, a 173-point edge.
Katlyn Cerminara enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Mara Romero Borella enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Katlyn Cerminara finishes 17% of wins inside the distance, Mara Romero Borella 58%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.