Katlyn Cerminara vs Maycee Barber
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-6-0Record15-3-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'9"Height5'5"
TBDReach65"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Team Renzo GracieTeamTeam Alpha Male
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1724
If they lose-12→ 1700
If they win+16→ 1738
If they lose-16→ 1706
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1678 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1650 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Katlyn CerminaraMaycee Barber
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Maycee Barber72%
Katlyn Cerminara 28%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Maycee Barber a 72% favorite over Katlyn Cerminara in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1712 vs 1722), separated by just 10 points.
Katlyn Cerminara enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Katlyn Cerminara finishes 17% of wins inside the distance, Maycee Barber 53%.
Katlyn Cerminara and Maycee Barber share 1 common opponent: Amanda Ribas.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.