Katlyn Cerminara vs Maycee Barber
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-6-0Record15-3-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'9"Height5'5"
68"Reach65"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Team Renzo GracieTeamTeam Alpha Male· 1645 avg Elo · 20 rated
What's at stake
Maycee Barber is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Katlyn Cerminara carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1717
If they lose-11→ 1693
If they win+15→ 1737
If they lose-17→ 1705
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1678 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1650 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Katlyn CerminaraMaycee Barber
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Maycee Barber62%
Katlyn Cerminara 38%Elo baseline: 53%
The Combat Edge model makes Maycee Barber a 62% favorite over Katlyn Cerminara in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).
Maycee Barber holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1722 to 1704, a 18-point edge.
Katlyn Cerminara enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Katlyn Cerminara finishes 17% of wins inside the distance, Maycee Barber 53%.
Katlyn Cerminara and Maycee Barber share 1 common opponent: Amanda Ribas.
Katlyn Cerminara carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.