Katlyn Cerminara vs Valentina Shevchenko
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-6-0Record26-4-1
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'9"Height5'5"
TBDReach66"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Team Renzo GracieTeamTiger Muay Thai
What's at stake
Valentina Shevchenko is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Katlyn Cerminara carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+16→ 1729
If they lose-8→ 1705
If they win+8→ 1842
If they lose-16→ 1818
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1679 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1714 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Katlyn CerminaraValentina Shevchenko
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Valentina Shevchenko75%
Katlyn Cerminara 25%Elo baseline: 67%
The Combat Edge model makes Valentina Shevchenko a 75% favorite over Katlyn Cerminara in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (67%).
Valentina Shevchenko holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1834 to 1713, a 121-point edge.
Katlyn Cerminara enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Valentina Shevchenko enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Katlyn Cerminara finishes 17% of wins inside the distance, Valentina Shevchenko 58%.
Katlyn Cerminara and Valentina Shevchenko share 3 common opponents: Manon Fiorot, Jennifer Maia and Jéssica Andrade.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Common opponents (3)
WinDecision (Unanimous) · 2022
WinDecision (unanimous) · 2019
WinDecision (unanimous) · 2020