Kauê Fernandes vs Leo Kuntz
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-3-0Record19-4-1
LightweightDivisionLightweight
6'0"Height5'10"
73"Reach74,0"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Nova UniaoTeamDaru Strong Performance Center
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1676
If they lose-16→ 1644
If they win+16→ 1673
If they lose-16→ 1641
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1579 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1505 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Kauê FernandesLeo Kuntz
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Kauê Fernandes67%
Leo Kuntz 33%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Kauê Fernandes a 67% favorite over Leo Kuntz in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1660 vs 1657), separated by just 3 points.
Kauê Fernandes finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Leo Kuntz 78%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.