Combat Edge Intelligence

Kauê Fernandes vs Kody Steele

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

11-3-0Record8-1-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
6'0"Height5'9"
73"Reach71"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Nova UniaoTeamSyndicate MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Kauê FernandesNow 1659
If they win+16→ 1675
If they lose-16→ 1643
Kody SteeleNow 1659
If they win+24→ 1683
If they lose-24→ 1635

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1577 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1531 · 9 fights

Tracked stat edges

0.41
Sig. strikes / min
3.85
50%
Strike accuracy
33%
5.70
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
6.20
29%
Strike defense
52%
0
Takedown avg.
1.07
TBD
Takedown accuracy
13%
0%
Takedown defense
100%
0
Submission avg.
0.53

Trajectory

Kauê FernandesKody Steele
16001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (55%)
KO/TKO
4 (50%)
2 (18%)
Submission
2 (25%)
3 (27%)
Decision
2 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Kauê Fernandes and Kody Steele within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1659 vs 1659), separated by just 0 points.

Kauê Fernandes finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Kody Steele 75%.

Kauê Fernandes carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.