Kazuhiro Nakamura vs Leonardo Silva
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
21-13-0Record22-10-0
MiddleweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
5'11"Height6'2"
TBDReach75"
185 lbsWeight206 lbs
Yoshida DojoTeamChina Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1650
If they lose-12→ 1626
If they win+12→ 1649
If they lose-12→ 1625
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1521 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1628 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Kazuhiro NakamuraLeonardo Silva
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Leonardo Silva75%
Kazuhiro Nakamura 25%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Leonardo Silva a 75% favorite over Kazuhiro Nakamura in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Kazuhiro Nakamura's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1638 vs 1637), separated by just 1 points.
Leonardo Silva enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Kazuhiro Nakamura finishes 38% of wins inside the distance, Leonardo Silva 73%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.