AdvertisementRemove ads — go Premium
Combat Edge Intelligence

Keith Berish vs Robert Valentin

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Keith Berish
us

Keith Berish

“Sha Bang Bang”

5-1-0MiddleweightUFC

1609Solid

Tale of the tape

5-1-0Record12-6-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'2"
73,5"Reach 77"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Black & Blue MMATeamFight Move Academy· 1617 avg Elo · 3 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Keith BerishNow 1609
If they win+24→ 1633
If they lose-24→ 1585
Robert ValentinNow 1609
If they win+16→ 1625
If they lose-16→ 1593

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1515 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1552 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

3.58
Sig. strikes / min
1.30
36%
Strike accuracy
56%
4.81
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.72
63%
Strike defense
33%
1.76
Takedown avg.
0.59
40%
Takedown accuracy
50%
0%
Takedown defense
55%
0
Submission avg.
1.78

Trajectory

Keith BerishRobert Valentin
155016001650201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (40%)
KO/TKO
3 (25%)
2 (40%)
Submission
8 (67%)
1 (20%)
Decision
1 (8%)

Combat Edge model read

Robert Valentin66%
Keith Berish 34%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Robert Valentin a 66% favorite over Keith Berish in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Keith Berish's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1609 vs 1609), separated by just 0 points.

Robert Valentin enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Keith Berish finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Robert Valentin 92%.

Robert Valentin carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.