Combat Edge Intelligence

Keith Wisniewski vs Matt Brown

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Matt Brown
us

Matt Brown

“The Immortal”

24-19-0WelterweightUFC

1607Solid

Tale of the tape

28-15-1Record24-19-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height6'0"
TBDReach75"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Duneland Vale TudoTeamImmortal Fight Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Keith WisniewskiNow 1606
If they win+12→ 1618
If they lose-12→ 1594
Matt BrownNow 1607
If they win+12→ 1619
If they lose-12→ 1595

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1566 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1645 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.32
Sig. strikes / min
3.76
52%
Strike accuracy
55%
4.86
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.92
43%
Strike defense
55%
1.57
Takedown avg.
1.68
40%
Takedown accuracy
47%
79%
Takedown defense
64%
0.26
Submission avg.
1.30

Trajectory

Keith WisniewskiMatt Brown
16001650201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (21%)
KO/TKO
16 (67%)
15 (54%)
Submission
6 (25%)
7 (25%)
Decision
2 (8%)

Combat Edge model read

Matt Brown59%
Keith Wisniewski 41%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Matt Brown a 59% favorite over Keith Wisniewski in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1606 vs 1607), separated by just 1 points.

Keith Wisniewski enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Keith Wisniewski finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Matt Brown 92%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.