Combat Edge Intelligence

Kelvin Gastelum vs Shamil Ramazanov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

20-11-0Record11-0-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'9"Height5'11"
71"Reach-
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Fight ReadyTeamGolden Team· 1729 avg Elo · 3 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Kelvin GastelumNow 1693
If they win+12→ 1705
If they lose-12→ 1681
Shamil RamazanovNow 1694
If they win+16→ 1710
If they lose-16→ 1678

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1715 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1505 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

3.65
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
42%
Strike accuracy
Not available
3.52
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
57%
Strike defense
Not available
1.04
Takedown avg.
Not available
13%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
60%
Takedown defense
Not available
0.09
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Kelvin GastelumShamil Ramazanov
16501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (30%)
KO/TKO
4 (36%)
5 (25%)
Submission
3 (27%)
9 (45%)
Decision
4 (36%)

Combat Edge model read

Kelvin Gastelum74%
Shamil Ramazanov 26%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Kelvin Gastelum a 74% favorite over Shamil Ramazanov in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Shamil Ramazanov's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1693 vs 1694), separated by just 1 points.

Shamil Ramazanov enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Kelvin Gastelum finishes 55% of wins inside the distance, Shamil Ramazanov 64%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.