Combat Edge Intelligence

Kelvin Gastelum vs Torrez Finney

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

20-11-0Record11-1-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'9"Height5'7"
71"Reach75"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Fight ReadyTeamAgoge Combatives

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Kelvin GastelumNow 1693
If they win+12→ 1705
If they lose-12→ 1681
Torrez FinneyNow 1692
If they win+16→ 1708
If they lose-16→ 1676

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1715 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1528 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.65
Sig. strikes / min
1.77
42%
Strike accuracy
69%
3.52
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.74
57%
Strike defense
48%
1.04
Takedown avg.
9.31
13%
Takedown accuracy
60%
60%
Takedown defense
0%
0.09
Submission avg.
1.07

Trajectory

Kelvin GastelumTorrez Finney
160016501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (30%)
KO/TKO
7 (64%)
5 (25%)
Submission
1 (9%)
9 (45%)
Decision
3 (27%)

Combat Edge model read

Torrez Finney60%
Kelvin Gastelum 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Torrez Finney a 60% favorite over Kelvin Gastelum in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Kelvin Gastelum's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1693 vs 1692), separated by just 1 points.

Kelvin Gastelum finishes 55% of wins inside the distance, Torrez Finney 73%.

Torrez Finney carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.