Kelvin Gastelum vs Uriah Hall
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
20-11-0Record17-11-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'9"Height6'0"
71"Reach79"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Fight ReadyTeamFortis MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1705
If they lose-12→ 1681
If they win+12→ 1709
If they lose-12→ 1685
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1715 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1725 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Kelvin GastelumUriah Hall
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Kelvin Gastelum66%
Uriah Hall 34%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Kelvin Gastelum a 66% favorite over Uriah Hall in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Uriah Hall's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1693 vs 1697), separated by just 4 points.
Uriah Hall enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Kelvin Gastelum finishes 55% of wins inside the distance, Uriah Hall 82%.
Uriah Hall carries a 8-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.