Kelvin Gastelum vs Uzair Abdurakov
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
20-11-0Record20-3-1
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'9"Height5'9"
71"ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight172 lbs
Fight ReadyTeamUniversal Fighters
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1705
If they lose-12→ 1681
If they win+16→ 1710
If they lose-16→ 1678
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1717 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1559 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Kelvin GastelumUzair Abdurakov
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Kelvin Gastelum67%
Uzair Abdurakov 33%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Kelvin Gastelum a 67% favorite over Uzair Abdurakov in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Uzair Abdurakov's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1693 vs 1694), separated by just 1 points.
Uzair Abdurakov enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Kelvin Gastelum finishes 55% of wins inside the distance, Uzair Abdurakov 80%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.