Combat Edge Intelligence

Ken Shamrock vs Luke Fernandez

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Ken Shamrock
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Ken Shamrock

“The World's Most Dangerous Man”

28-17-2HeavyweightBFC

1616Solid

Tale of the tape

28-17-2Record6-1-0
HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'1"Height6'2"
72"Reach76"
212 lbsWeight205 lbs
Lion's DenTeamDante Rivera BJJ

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Ken ShamrockNow 1616
If they win+12→ 1628
If they lose-12→ 1604
Luke FernandezNow 1612
If they win+24→ 1636
If they lose-24→ 1588

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1641 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1525 · 7 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.47
Sig. strikes / min
32
47%
Strike accuracy
100%
4.30
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
0
40%
Strike defense
100%
0.94
Takedown avg.
0
60%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
44%
Takedown defense
0%
2.52
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Ken ShamrockLuke Fernandez
15501600165020162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (11%)
KO/TKO
5 (83%)
22 (79%)
Submission
0 (0%)
3 (11%)
Decision
1 (17%)

Combat Edge model read

Luke Fernandez60%
Ken Shamrock 40%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Luke Fernandez a 60% favorite over Ken Shamrock in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Ken Shamrock's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1616 vs 1612), separated by just 4 points.

Ken Shamrock enters on a 7-fight loss streak.

Ken Shamrock finishes 89% of wins inside the distance, Luke Fernandez 83%.

Luke Fernandez carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.