Combat Edge Intelligence

Ketlen Souza vs Livinha Souza

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Ketlen Souza
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Ketlen Souza

“Esquentadinha”

17-6-0StrawweightUFC

1647Solid
Livinha Souza
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Livinha Souza

“The Brazilian Gangster”

14-4-0StrawweightUFC

1652Good

Tale of the tape

17-6-0Record14-4-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'2"Height5'4"
63"Reach63"
115 lbsWeight115 lbs
Carioca AcademyTeamTeam Maximo

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Ketlen SouzaNow 1647
If they win+16→ 1663
If they lose-16→ 1631
Livinha SouzaNow 1652
If they win+16→ 1668
If they lose-16→ 1636

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1599 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1579 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.01
Sig. strikes / min
1.75
56%
Strike accuracy
45%
3.86
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.60
53%
Strike defense
57%
0.46
Takedown avg.
2.54
13%
Takedown accuracy
46%
54%
Takedown defense
40%
0.23
Submission avg.
1.38

Trajectory

Ketlen SouzaLivinha Souza
1600165017002020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

9 (53%)
KO/TKO
2 (14%)
2 (12%)
Submission
8 (57%)
6 (35%)
Decision
4 (29%)

Combat Edge model read

Ketlen Souza70%
Livinha Souza 30%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Ketlen Souza a 70% favorite over Livinha Souza in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Livinha Souza's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1647 vs 1652), separated by just 5 points.

Ketlen Souza enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Livinha Souza enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Ketlen Souza finishes 65% of wins inside the distance, Livinha Souza 71%.

Ketlen Souza and Livinha Souza share 1 common opponent: Angela Hill.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

LossDecision (split) · 2025
Angela Hill
LossDecision (Split) · 2016