Ketlen Souza vs Piera Rodriguez
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
17-6-0Record12-2-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'2"Height5'3"
63"Reach63"
115 lbsWeight115 lbs
Carioca Academy· 1615 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamBlack House MMA
What's at stake
Piera Rodriguez is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Ketlen Souza carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+19→ 1655
If they lose-13→ 1623
If they win+13→ 1718
If they lose-19→ 1686
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1610 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1586 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Ketlen SouzaPiera Rodriguez
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Piera Rodriguez66%
Ketlen Souza 34%Elo baseline: 60%
The Combat Edge model makes Piera Rodriguez a 66% favorite over Ketlen Souza in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).
Piera Rodriguez holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1705 to 1636, a 69-point edge.
Piera Rodriguez enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Ketlen Souza finishes 65% of wins inside the distance, Piera Rodriguez 42%.
Ketlen Souza and Piera Rodriguez share 1 common opponent: Ariane Carnelossi.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.