Ketlen Souza vs Piera Rodriguez
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
17-6-0Record12-2-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'2"Height5'3"
63"Reach63"
115 lbsWeight115 lbs
Carioca AcademyTeamBlack House MMA
What's at stake
Piera Rodriguez is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Ketlen Souza carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+18→ 1665
If they lose-14→ 1633
If they win+14→ 1694
If they lose-18→ 1662
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1599 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1575 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Ketlen SouzaPiera Rodriguez
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Piera Rodriguez51%
Ketlen Souza 49%Elo baseline: 55%
The Combat Edge model makes Piera Rodriguez a 51% favorite over Ketlen Souza in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).
Piera Rodriguez holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1680 to 1647, a 33-point edge.
Ketlen Souza enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Piera Rodriguez enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Ketlen Souza finishes 65% of wins inside the distance, Piera Rodriguez 42%.
Ketlen Souza and Piera Rodriguez share 1 common opponent: Ariane Carnelossi.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.