Combat Edge Intelligence

Ketlen Souza vs Tabatha Ricci

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Ketlen Souza
br

Ketlen Souza

“Esquentadinha”

17-6-0StrawweightUFC

1647Solid

Tale of the tape

17-6-0Record12-4-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'2"Height5'2"
63"Reach 61"
115 lbsWeight115 lbs
Carioca AcademyTeamBrazilian Thai

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Ketlen SouzaNow 1647
If they win+16→ 1663
If they lose-16→ 1631
Tabatha RicciNow 1657
If they win+16→ 1673
If they lose-16→ 1641

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1599 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1652 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.01
Sig. strikes / min
4
56%
Strike accuracy
37%
3.86
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.83
53%
Strike defense
58%
0.46
Takedown avg.
2.51
13%
Takedown accuracy
8%
54%
Takedown defense
65%
0.23
Submission avg.
0.10

Trajectory

Ketlen SouzaTabatha Ricci
16001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

9 (53%)
KO/TKO
2 (17%)
2 (12%)
Submission
3 (25%)
6 (35%)
Decision
7 (58%)

Combat Edge model read

Ketlen Souza51%
Tabatha Ricci 49%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Ketlen Souza a 51% favorite over Tabatha Ricci in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Tabatha Ricci's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1647 vs 1657), separated by just 10 points.

Ketlen Souza enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Ketlen Souza finishes 65% of wins inside the distance, Tabatha Ricci 42%.

Ketlen Souza and Tabatha Ricci share 1 common opponent: Angela Hill.

Ketlen Souza carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

LossDecision (split) · 2025
Angela Hill
WinDecision (unanimous) · 2024