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Combat Edge Intelligence

Ketlen Souza vs Yazmin Jauregui

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Ketlen Souza
br

Ketlen Souza

“Esquentadinha”

17-6-0StrawweightUFC

1636Solid

Tale of the tape

17-6-0Record12-2-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'2"Height5'3"
63"Reach64"
115 lbsWeight115 lbs
Carioca Academy· 1615 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamEntram Gym· 1678 avg Elo · 12 rated

What's at stake

Yazmin Jauregui is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Ketlen Souza carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Ketlen SouzaNow 1636
If they win+18→ 1654
If they lose-14→ 1622
Yazmin JaureguiNow 1688
If they win+14→ 1702
If they lose-18→ 1670

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1610 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1563 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

4.11
Sig. strikes / min
6.64
57%
Strike accuracy
39%
3.89
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.25
53%
Strike defense
55%
0.45
Takedown avg.
0
0%
Takedown accuracy
0%
54%
Takedown defense
100%
0.23
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Ketlen SouzaYazmin Jauregui
16001650170020252026

Win method breakdown

9 (53%)
KO/TKO
8 (67%)
2 (12%)
Submission
0 (0%)
6 (35%)
Decision
4 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Yazmin Jauregui63%
Ketlen Souza 37%Elo baseline: 57%

The Combat Edge model makes Yazmin Jauregui a 63% favorite over Ketlen Souza in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).

Yazmin Jauregui holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1688 to 1636, a 52-point edge.

Ketlen Souza finishes 65% of wins inside the distance, Yazmin Jauregui 67%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.