Ketlen Souza vs Yazmin Jauregui
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
17-6-0Record11-2-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'2"Height5'3"
63"Reach64"
115 lbsWeight115 lbs
Carioca AcademyTeamEntram Gym
What's at stake
Yazmin Jauregui is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Ketlen Souza carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+17→ 1664
If they lose-15→ 1632
If they win+15→ 1689
If they lose-17→ 1657
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1599 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1552 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Ketlen SouzaYazmin Jauregui
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ketlen Souza53%
Yazmin Jauregui 47%Elo baseline: 46%
The Combat Edge model makes Ketlen Souza a 53% favorite over Yazmin Jauregui in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Yazmin Jauregui's way (46%).
Yazmin Jauregui holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1674 to 1647, a 27-point edge.
Ketlen Souza enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Ketlen Souza finishes 65% of wins inside the distance, Yazmin Jauregui 64%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.