Combat Edge Intelligence

Ketlen Vieira vs Raquel Pennington

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

16-6-0Record16-9-0
BantamweightDivisionWomen's Bantamweight
5'9"Height5'7"
68"Reach67"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Nova UniaoTeamAltitude MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Ketlen VieiraNow 1664
If they win+17→ 1681
If they lose-15→ 1649
Raquel PenningtonNow 1675
If they win+15→ 1690
If they lose-17→ 1658

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1693 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1642 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.71
Sig. strikes / min
4.10
40%
Strike accuracy
49%
3.73
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.32
51%
Strike defense
61%
1.31
Takedown avg.
0.83
17%
Takedown accuracy
28%
90%
Takedown defense
63%
0.52
Submission avg.
0.62

Trajectory

Ketlen VieiraRaquel Pennington
1650170020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (13%)
KO/TKO
1 (6%)
4 (25%)
Submission
4 (25%)
10 (63%)
Decision
11 (69%)

Combat Edge model read

Ketlen Vieira66%
Raquel Pennington 34%Elo baseline: 48%

The Combat Edge model makes Ketlen Vieira a 66% favorite over Raquel Pennington in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Raquel Pennington's way (48%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1664 vs 1675), separated by just 11 points.

Ketlen Vieira finishes 38% of wins inside the distance, Raquel Pennington 31%.

Ketlen Vieira and Raquel Pennington share 3 common opponents: Macy Chiasson, Pannie Kianzad and Holly Holm.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (3)

WinDecision (unanimous) · 2025
Macy Chiasson
WinSubmission · 2021
WinDecision - Unanimous · 2023
Pannie Kianzad
WinDecision (unanimous) · 2021
WinDecision (split) · 2022
Holly Holm
LossDecision (unanimous) · 2020