Kevin Aguilar vs Ricky Glenn
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
17-5-0Record22-8-2
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
5'7"Height6'0"
TBDReach70.5"
145 lbsWeight155 lbs
Longview MMATeamTeam Alpha Male· 1645 avg Elo · 20 rated
What's at stake
Kevin Aguilar is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Ricky Glenn carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1699
If they lose-18→ 1667
If they win+13→ 1659
If they lose-11→ 1635
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1652 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1670 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Kevin AguilarRicky Glenn
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ricky Glenn53%
Kevin Aguilar 47%Elo baseline: 44%
The Combat Edge model makes Ricky Glenn a 53% favorite over Kevin Aguilar in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Kevin Aguilar's way (44%).
Kevin Aguilar holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1685 to 1646, a 39-point edge.
Kevin Aguilar enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Ricky Glenn enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Kevin Aguilar finishes 65% of wins inside the distance, Ricky Glenn 73%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.