Combat Edge Intelligence

Kevin Christian vs Matt Hamill

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Matt Hamill
us

Matt Hamill

“The Hammer”

13-8-0Light HeavyweightMAV

1556Solid

Tale of the tape

9-4-0Record13-8-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'7"Height6'2"
80"ReachTBD
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Cosme Junior TeamTeamIndependent

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Kevin ChristianNow 1559
If they win+24→ 1583
If they lose-24→ 1535
Matt HamillNow 1556
If they win+16→ 1572
If they lose-16→ 1540

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1523 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1637 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.64
Sig. strikes / min
3.69
57%
Strike accuracy
42%
2.65
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.80
44%
Strike defense
61%
0
Takedown avg.
3
TBD
Takedown accuracy
34%
50%
Takedown defense
92%
2.34
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Kevin ChristianMatt Hamill
15001550160020162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (44%)
KO/TKO
7 (58%)
5 (56%)
Submission
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Decision
5 (42%)

Combat Edge model read

Kevin Christian60%
Matt Hamill 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Kevin Christian a 60% favorite over Matt Hamill in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1559 vs 1556), separated by just 3 points.

Kevin Christian enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Matt Hamill enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Kevin Christian finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Matt Hamill 58%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.