Combat Edge Intelligence

Kevin Christian vs Thiago Silva

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

9-4-0Record21-9-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'7"Height6'1"
80"Reach74"
205 lbsWeight223 lbs
Cosme Junior TeamTeamKill Cliff FC

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Kevin ChristianNow 1560
If they win+24→ 1584
If they lose-24→ 1536
Thiago SilvaNow 1562
If they win+12→ 1574
If they lose-12→ 1550

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1524 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1555 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.64
Sig. strikes / min
3.92
57%
Strike accuracy
50%
2.65
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.55
44%
Strike defense
67%
0
Takedown avg.
1.03
TBD
Takedown accuracy
0%
50%
Takedown defense
71%
2.34
Submission avg.
0.69

Trajectory

Kevin ChristianThiago Silva
155016002017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (44%)
KO/TKO
15 (71%)
5 (56%)
Submission
1 (5%)
0 (0%)
Decision
5 (24%)

Combat Edge model read

Kevin Christian66%
Thiago Silva 34%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Kevin Christian a 66% favorite over Thiago Silva in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Thiago Silva's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1560 vs 1562), separated by just 2 points.

Kevin Christian enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Kevin Christian finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Thiago Silva 76%.

Kevin Christian carries a 6-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.