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Combat Edge Intelligence

Kevin Fernandez vs Lone’er Kavanagh

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

10-1-0Record10-2-0
BantamweightDivisionFlyweight
5'7"Height5'4"
68"Reach67"
131 lbsWeight126 lbs
TeamGreat Britain Top Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Kevin FernandezNow 1671
If they win+16→ 1687
If they lose-16→ 1655
Lone’er KavanaghNow 1670
If they win+16→ 1686
If they lose-16→ 1654

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1499 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1593 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
4.13
Not available
Strike accuracy
50%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.94
Not available
Strike defense
54%
Not available
Takedown avg.
1.12
Not available
Takedown accuracy
0%
Not available
Takedown defense
83%
Not available
Submission avg.
0.37

Trajectory

Kevin FernandezLone’er Kavanagh
1650170020252026

Win method breakdown

2 (20%)
KO/TKO
4 (40%)
4 (40%)
Submission
1 (10%)
4 (40%)
Decision
5 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Kevin Fernandez55%
Lone’er Kavanagh 45%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Kevin Fernandez a 55% favorite over Lone’er Kavanagh in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1671 vs 1670), separated by just 1 points.

Kevin Fernandez enters on a 7-fight win streak.

Kevin Fernandez finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Lone’er Kavanagh 50%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.