Kevin Holland vs Marvin Vettori
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
29-15-0Record19-10-1
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'3"Height6'0"
81"Reach74"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Phalanx MMA AcademyTeamXtreme Couture
What's at stake
Kevin Holland is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Marvin Vettori carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+10→ 1746
If they lose-14→ 1722
If they win+14→ 1702
If they lose-10→ 1678
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1740 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1753 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Kevin HollandMarvin Vettori
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Kevin Holland60%
Marvin Vettori 40%Elo baseline: 57%
The Combat Edge model makes Kevin Holland a 60% favorite over Marvin Vettori in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).
Kevin Holland holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1736 to 1688, a 48-point edge.
Marvin Vettori enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Kevin Holland finishes 79% of wins inside the distance, Marvin Vettori 58%.
Kevin Holland and Marvin Vettori share 1 common opponent: Roman Dolidze.
Kevin Holland carries a 7-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.