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Combat Edge Intelligence

Kevin Holland vs Marvin Vettori

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Marvin Vettori
it

Marvin Vettori

“The Italian Dream”

19-11-1MiddleweightUFC

1676Good

Tale of the tape

29-15-0Record19-11-1
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'3"Height6'0"
81"Reach74"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Phalanx MMA AcademyTeamXtreme Couture

What's at stake

Kevin Holland is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Marvin Vettori carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Kevin HollandNow 1736
If they win+10→ 1746
If they lose-14→ 1722
Marvin VettoriNow 1676
If they win+14→ 1690
If they lose-10→ 1666

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1740 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1744 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

4.24
Sig. strikes / min
4.74
50%
Strike accuracy
46%
3.21
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.55
50%
Strike defense
56%
0.79
Takedown avg.
1.41
0%
Takedown accuracy
11%
58%
Takedown defense
69%
0.60
Submission avg.
0.39

Trajectory

Kevin HollandMarvin Vettori
17001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

14 (48%)
KO/TKO
2 (11%)
9 (31%)
Submission
9 (47%)
6 (21%)
Decision
8 (42%)

Combat Edge model read

Kevin Holland68%
Marvin Vettori 32%Elo baseline: 59%

The Combat Edge model makes Kevin Holland a 68% favorite over Marvin Vettori in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).

Kevin Holland holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1736 to 1676, a 60-point edge.

Marvin Vettori enters on a 5-fight loss streak.

Kevin Holland finishes 79% of wins inside the distance, Marvin Vettori 58%.

Kevin Holland and Marvin Vettori share 1 common opponent: Roman Dolidze.

Kevin Holland carries a 7-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

LossTKO · 2024
Roman Dolidze
LossDecision (unanimous) · 2025
WinDecision - Unanimous · 2023