Combat Edge Intelligence

Kevin Holland vs Randy Brown

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Randy Brown
jm

Randy Brown

“Rude Boy”

20-8-0WelterweightUFC

1742Good

Tale of the tape

29-15-0Record20-8-0
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
6'3"Height6'3"
81"Reach78"
185 lbsWeight170 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Kevin HollandNow 1736
If they win+12→ 1748
If they lose-12→ 1724
Randy BrownNow 1742
If they win+12→ 1754
If they lose-12→ 1730

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1740 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1727 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.24
Sig. strikes / min
4.49
50%
Strike accuracy
47%
3.21
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.33
50%
Strike defense
54%
0.79
Takedown avg.
0.76
0%
Takedown accuracy
39%
58%
Takedown defense
73%
0.60
Submission avg.
0.56

Trajectory

Kevin HollandRandy Brown
1750202420252026

Win method breakdown

14 (48%)
KO/TKO
8 (40%)
9 (31%)
Submission
5 (25%)
6 (21%)
Decision
7 (35%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Kevin Holland and Randy Brown within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1736 vs 1742), separated by just 6 points.

Randy Brown enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Kevin Holland finishes 79% of wins inside the distance, Randy Brown 65%.

Kevin Holland and Randy Brown share 1 common opponent: Jack Della Maddalena.

Kevin Holland carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

LossDecision - Split · 2023
Jack Della Maddalena
LossSubmission · 2023