Kevin Holland vs Tim Means
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
29-15-0Record33-17-1
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
6'3"Height6'2"
81"Reach75"
185 lbsWeight170 lbs
Phalanx MMA AcademyTeamFit NHB
What's at stake
Kevin Holland is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Tim Means carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+9→ 1745
If they lose-15→ 1721
If they win+15→ 1661
If they lose-9→ 1637
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1740 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1672 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Kevin HollandTim Means
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Kevin Holland88%
Tim Means 12%Elo baseline: 63%
The Combat Edge model makes Kevin Holland a 88% favorite over Tim Means in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (63%).
Kevin Holland holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1736 to 1646, a 90-point edge.
Tim Means enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Kevin Holland finishes 79% of wins inside the distance, Tim Means 76%.
Kevin Holland and Tim Means share 1 common opponent: Daniel Rodriguez.
Kevin Holland carries a 6-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.