Combat Edge Intelligence

Kevin Holland vs Vicente Luque

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Vicente Luque
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Vicente Luque

“The Silent Assassin”

24-12-1WelterweightUFC

1723Good

Tale of the tape

29-15-0Record24-12-1
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
6'3"Height5'11"
81"Reach75″
185 lbsWeight170 lbs
Phalanx MMA AcademyTeamKill Cliff FC

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Kevin HollandNow 1736
If they win+12→ 1748
If they lose-12→ 1724
Vicente LuqueNow 1723
If they win+12→ 1735
If they lose-12→ 1711

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1740 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1731 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.24
Sig. strikes / min
4.80
50%
Strike accuracy
51%
3.21
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.24
50%
Strike defense
52%
0.79
Takedown avg.
0.89
0%
Takedown accuracy
21%
58%
Takedown defense
60%
0.60
Submission avg.
0.70

Trajectory

Kevin HollandVicente Luque
17001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

14 (48%)
KO/TKO
11 (46%)
9 (31%)
Submission
10 (42%)
6 (21%)
Decision
3 (13%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Kevin Holland and Vicente Luque within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1736 vs 1723), separated by just 13 points.

Kevin Holland finishes 79% of wins inside the distance, Vicente Luque 88%.

Kevin Holland and Vicente Luque share 1 common opponent: Michael Chiesa.

Kevin Holland carries a 6-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

WinSubmission · 2023
Michael Chiesa
WinSubmission · 2021