Combat Edge Intelligence

Kevin Syler vs Thiago Moisés

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Kevin Syler

Kevin Syler

“El Nino Bala”

10-1-0LightweightDWCS

1683Good

Tale of the tape

10-1-0Record19-10-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'9"
TBDReach70"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
American Top TeamTeamAmerican Top Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Kevin SylerNow 1683
If they win+16→ 1699
If they lose-16→ 1667
Thiago MoisésNow 1683
If they win+12→ 1695
If they lose-12→ 1671

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1525 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1680 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.60
Sig. strikes / min
2.48
69%
Strike accuracy
42%
4.03
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.08
48%
Strike defense
53%
1
Takedown avg.
1.31
40%
Takedown accuracy
36%
78%
Takedown defense
53%
2
Submission avg.
1.14

Trajectory

Kevin SylerThiago Moisés
1650170020192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (10%)
KO/TKO
4 (21%)
7 (70%)
Submission
8 (42%)
2 (20%)
Decision
7 (37%)

Combat Edge model read

Thiago Moisés56%
Kevin Syler 44%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Thiago Moisés a 56% favorite over Kevin Syler in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Kevin Syler's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1683 vs 1683), separated by just 0 points.

Thiago Moisés enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Kevin Syler finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Thiago Moisés 63%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.