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Combat Edge Intelligence

Keweny Lopes vs Makwan Amirkhani

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

12-5-1Record20-11-0
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'10"
68"Reach72"
145 lbsWeight156 lbs
Nova UniaoTeamSBG Ireland

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Keweny LopesNow 1621
If they win+16→ 1637
If they lose-16→ 1605
Makwan AmirkhaniNow 1621
If they win+16→ 1637
If they lose-16→ 1605

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1565 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1614 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
1.33
Not available
Strike accuracy
44%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.98
Not available
Strike defense
46%
Not available
Takedown avg.
3.96
Not available
Takedown accuracy
15%
Not available
Takedown defense
36%
Not available
Submission avg.
1.05

Trajectory

Keweny LopesMakwan Amirkhani
16001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

9 (75%)
KO/TKO
1 (5%)
1 (8%)
Submission
14 (70%)
2 (17%)
Decision
5 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Makwan Amirkhani52%
Keweny Lopes 48%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Makwan Amirkhani a 52% favorite over Keweny Lopes in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Keweny Lopes's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1621 vs 1621), separated by just 0 points.

Keweny Lopes enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Makwan Amirkhani enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Keweny Lopes finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Makwan Amirkhani 75%.

Makwan Amirkhani carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.