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Combat Edge Intelligence

Keweny Lopes vs Melsik Baghdasaryan

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

12-5-1Record8-4-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'9"Height5'8"
68"Reach70"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Keweny LopesNow 1621
If they win+16→ 1637
If they lose-16→ 1605
Melsik BaghdasaryanNow 1621
If they win+16→ 1637
If they lose-16→ 1605

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1565 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1591 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
5.04
Not available
Strike accuracy
60%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.14
Not available
Strike defense
57%
Not available
Takedown avg.
0
Not available
Takedown accuracy
0%
Not available
Takedown defense
73%
Not available
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Keweny LopesMelsik Baghdasaryan
1650202420252026

Win method breakdown

9 (75%)
KO/TKO
5 (63%)
1 (8%)
Submission
0 (0%)
2 (17%)
Decision
3 (38%)

Combat Edge model read

Keweny Lopes53%
Melsik Baghdasaryan 47%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Keweny Lopes a 53% favorite over Melsik Baghdasaryan in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1621 vs 1621), separated by just 0 points.

Keweny Lopes enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Melsik Baghdasaryan enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Keweny Lopes finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Melsik Baghdasaryan 63%.

Melsik Baghdasaryan carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.