Khabib Nabiev vs Modestas Bukauskas
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-0-0Record21-7-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'1"Height6'3"
-Reach78"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Abdulmanap Nurmagomedov School· 1732 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamGintas Combat
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1740
If they lose-16→ 1708
If they win+12→ 1733
If they lose-12→ 1709
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1512 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1661 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Khabib NabievModestas Bukauskas
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Modestas Bukauskas64%
Khabib Nabiev 36%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Modestas Bukauskas a 64% favorite over Khabib Nabiev in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Khabib Nabiev's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1724 vs 1721), separated by just 3 points.
Khabib Nabiev enters on a 10-fight win streak.
Modestas Bukauskas enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Khabib Nabiev finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Modestas Bukauskas 71%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.