Combat Edge Intelligence

Khabib Nabiev vs Volkan Oezdemir

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

12-0-0Record21-8-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'1"Height6'1"
-Reach75"
205 lbsWeight206 lbs
Abdulmanap Nurmagomedov School· 1732 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamFight Move Academy

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Khabib NabievNow 1724
If they win+16→ 1740
If they lose-16→ 1708
Volkan OezdemirNow 1719
If they win+16→ 1735
If they lose-16→ 1703

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1512 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1716 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
4.95
Not available
Strike accuracy
49%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.22
Not available
Strike defense
55%
Not available
Takedown avg.
0.50
Not available
Takedown accuracy
29%
Not available
Takedown defense
80%
Not available
Submission avg.
0.10

Trajectory

Khabib NabievVolkan Oezdemir
16501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (42%)
KO/TKO
14 (67%)
5 (42%)
Submission
2 (10%)
2 (17%)
Decision
5 (24%)

Combat Edge model read

Volkan Oezdemir67%
Khabib Nabiev 33%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Volkan Oezdemir a 67% favorite over Khabib Nabiev in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Khabib Nabiev's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1724 vs 1719), separated by just 5 points.

Khabib Nabiev enters on a 10-fight win streak.

Khabib Nabiev finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Volkan Oezdemir 76%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.