Combat Edge Intelligence

Khabib Nabiev vs Volkan Oezdemir

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

12-0-0Record21-8-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'1"Height6'1"
-Reach75"
205 lbsWeight206 lbs
Abdulmanap Nurmagomedov SchoolTeamFight Move Academy

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Khabib NabievNow 1721
If they win+16→ 1737
If they lose-16→ 1705
Volkan OezdemirNow 1719
If they win+16→ 1735
If they lose-16→ 1703

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1506 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1716 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
4.95
TBD
Strike accuracy
49%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.22
TBD
Strike defense
55%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0.50
TBD
Takedown accuracy
29%
TBD
Takedown defense
80%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.10

Trajectory

Khabib NabievVolkan Oezdemir
16501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (42%)
KO/TKO
14 (67%)
5 (42%)
Submission
2 (10%)
2 (17%)
Decision
5 (24%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Khabib Nabiev and Volkan Oezdemir within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1721 vs 1719), separated by just 2 points.

Khabib Nabiev enters on a 10-fight win streak.

Khabib Nabiev finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Volkan Oezdemir 76%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.