Khamzat Chimaev vs Michael Page
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-1-0Record26-3-0
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
6'2"Height6'3"
75" Reach79"
186 lbsWeight170 lbs
Allstars Training Center· 1670 avg Elo · 7 ratedTeamLondon Shootfighters
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1844
If they lose-16→ 1812
If they win+12→ 1848
If they lose-12→ 1824
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1751 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1720 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Khamzat ChimaevMichael Page
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Khamzat Chimaev64%
Michael Page 36%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Khamzat Chimaev a 64% favorite over Michael Page in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Michael Page's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1828 vs 1836), separated by just 8 points.
Michael Page enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Khamzat Chimaev finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Michael Page 62%.
Khamzat Chimaev and Michael Page share 1 common opponent: Kevin Holland.
Michael Page carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.