Khamzat Chimaev vs Sean Strickland
Records, Elo, stats and the Combat Edge model read, side by side.
Combat Edge model read
Khamzat Chimaev58%
Sean Strickland 42%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Khamzat Chimaev a 58% favorite over Sean Strickland in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1828 vs 1824), separated by just 4 points.
Sean Strickland enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Khamzat Chimaev finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Sean Strickland 52%.
Khamzat Chimaev and Sean Strickland share 1 common opponent: Dricus Du Plessis.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Tale of the tape
15-1-0Record31-7-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'1"
75" Reach76"
186 lbsWeight185 lbs
Allstars Training Center· 1647 avg Elo · 9 ratedTeamXtreme Couture
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1844
If they lose-16→ 1812
If they win+12→ 1836
If they lose-12→ 1812
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1751 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1744 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Khamzat ChimaevSean Strickland
Win method breakdown
Common opponents (1)
WinDecision (unanimous) · 2025
LossDecision (unanimous) · 2025
LossDecision - Split · 2024