Combat Edge Intelligence

Khamzat Chimaev vs Sean Strickland

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

15-1-0Record31-7-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'1"
75" Reach76"
186 lbsWeight185 lbs
Allstars Training Center· 1677 avg Elo · 6 ratedTeamXtreme Couture

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Khamzat ChimaevNow 1827
If they win+16→ 1843
If they lose-16→ 1811
Sean StricklandNow 1823
If they win+12→ 1835
If they lose-12→ 1811

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1750 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1741 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.01
Sig. strikes / min
6.04
54%
Strike accuracy
43%
2.98
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.57
52%
Strike defense
61%
5.32
Takedown avg.
0.71
58%
Takedown accuracy
64%
88%
Takedown defense
77%
1.37
Submission avg.
0.16

Trajectory

Khamzat ChimaevSean Strickland
18001850202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (40%)
KO/TKO
12 (39%)
6 (40%)
Submission
4 (13%)
3 (20%)
Decision
15 (48%)

Combat Edge model read

Khamzat Chimaev60%
Sean Strickland 40%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Khamzat Chimaev a 60% favorite over Sean Strickland in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1827 vs 1823), separated by just 4 points.

Sean Strickland enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Khamzat Chimaev finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Sean Strickland 52%.

Khamzat Chimaev and Sean Strickland share 1 common opponent: Dricus Du Plessis.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

WinDecision (unanimous) · 2025
Dricus Du Plessis
LossDecision (unanimous) · 2025
LossDecision - Split · 2024