Khaos Williams vs Thomas Blackorby
Records, Elo, stats and the Combat Edge model read, side by side.
Combat Edge model read
Khaos Williams60%
Thomas Blackorby 40%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Khaos Williams a 60% favorite over Thomas Blackorby in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Thomas Blackorby's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1705 vs 1707), separated by just 2 points.
Thomas Blackorby enters on a 10-fight win streak.
Khaos Williams finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Thomas Blackorby 67%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Tale of the tape
16-6-0Record6-0-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height6'0"
77"Reach-
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Murcielago MMA· 1667 avg Elo · 6 ratedTeamPeoria Athletic Club
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1721
If they lose-16→ 1689
If they win+16→ 1723
If they lose-16→ 1691
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1696 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1518 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Khaos WilliamsThomas Blackorby