Kiefer Crosbie vs Sam Patterson
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-6-0Record15-3-1
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height6'4"
70"Reach78"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
SBG IrelandTeamTeam Crossface
What's at stake
Sam Patterson is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Kiefer Crosbie carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+24→ 1592
If they lose-8→ 1560
If they win+8→ 1754
If they lose-24→ 1722
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1571 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1639 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Kiefer CrosbieSam Patterson
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Sam Patterson92%
Kiefer Crosbie 8%Elo baseline: 74%
The Combat Edge model makes Sam Patterson a 92% favorite over Kiefer Crosbie in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (74%).
Sam Patterson holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1746 to 1568, a 178-point edge.
Kiefer Crosbie enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Kiefer Crosbie finishes 70% of wins inside the distance, Sam Patterson 93%.
Sam Patterson carries a 8-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.