Combat Edge Intelligence

Kiichi Kunimoto vs Victor Valenzuela

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

20-10-2Record14-4-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height5'9"
71,0"Reach71"
169 lbsWeight170 lbs
Cobra Kai MMA DojoTeamMMA Masters

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Kiichi KunimotoNow 1614
If they win+12→ 1626
If they lose-12→ 1602
Victor ValenzuelaNow 1613
If they win+16→ 1629
If they lose-16→ 1597

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1598 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1541 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.87
Sig. strikes / min
1.28
44%
Strike accuracy
100%
3.92
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.55
41%
Strike defense
0%
1.59
Takedown avg.
0
20%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
29%
Takedown defense
0%
0.32
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Kiichi KunimotoVictor Valenzuela
15501600165020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (11%)
KO/TKO
7 (50%)
10 (53%)
Submission
2 (14%)
7 (37%)
Decision
5 (36%)

Combat Edge model read

Victor Valenzuela66%
Kiichi Kunimoto 34%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Victor Valenzuela a 66% favorite over Kiichi Kunimoto in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Kiichi Kunimoto's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1614 vs 1613), separated by just 1 points.

Kiichi Kunimoto enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Victor Valenzuela enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Kiichi Kunimoto finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Victor Valenzuela 64%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.