King Green vs Paddy Pimblett
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
36-18-1Record24-4-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'10"
71″Reach 73"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Pinnacle MMATeamNext Generation UK
What's at stake
Paddy Pimblett is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — King Green carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1724
If they lose-9→ 1700
If they win+9→ 1803
If they lose-15→ 1779
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1699 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1689 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
King GreenPaddy Pimblett
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Paddy Pimblett76%
King Green 24%Elo baseline: 62%
The Combat Edge model makes Paddy Pimblett a 76% favorite over King Green in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (62%).
Paddy Pimblett holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1794 to 1709, a 85-point edge.
King Green finishes 64% of wins inside the distance, Paddy Pimblett 75%.
Paddy Pimblett carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.