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Combat Edge Intelligence

King Green vs Roberto de Souza

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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King Green
us

King Green

“King”

36-18-1LightweightUFC

1709Good

Tale of the tape

36-18-1Record21-4-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'10"
71″Reach-
155 lbsWeight156 lbs
Pinnacle MMATeamBonsai Jiu-Jitsu· 1688 avg Elo · 3 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

King GreenNow 1709
If they win+12→ 1721
If they lose-12→ 1697
Roberto de SouzaNow 1710
If they win+12→ 1722
If they lose-12→ 1698

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1699 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1644 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

6.49
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
53%
Strike accuracy
Not available
3.63
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
62%
Strike defense
Not available
1.32
Takedown avg.
Not available
9%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
72%
Takedown defense
Not available
0.31
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

King GreenRoberto de Souza
1700202420252026

Win method breakdown

13 (36%)
KO/TKO
6 (29%)
10 (28%)
Submission
13 (62%)
13 (36%)
Decision
2 (10%)

Combat Edge model read

King Green55%
Roberto de Souza 45%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes King Green a 55% favorite over Roberto de Souza in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Roberto de Souza's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1709 vs 1710), separated by just 1 points.

King Green finishes 64% of wins inside the distance, Roberto de Souza 90%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.