King Green vs Terrance McKinney
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
36-18-1Record18-9-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'10"
71″Reach73"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
What's at stake
King Green is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Terrance McKinney carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+10→ 1719
If they lose-14→ 1695
If they win+14→ 1676
If they lose-10→ 1652
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1699 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1671 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
King GreenTerrance McKinney
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
King Green53%
Terrance McKinney 47%Elo baseline: 57%
The Combat Edge model makes King Green a 53% favorite over Terrance McKinney in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).
King Green holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1709 to 1662, a 47-point edge.
King Green finishes 64% of wins inside the distance, Terrance McKinney 100%.
King Green and Terrance McKinney share 1 common opponent: Esteban Ribovics.
Terrance McKinney carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.