Combat Edge Intelligence

King Green vs Terrance McKinney

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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King Green
us

King Green

“King”

36-17-1LightweightUFC

1723Good

Tale of the tape

36-17-1Record18-9-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'10"
71″Reach73"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs

What's at stake

King Green is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Terrance McKinney carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

King GreenNow 1723
If they win+10→ 1733
If they lose-14→ 1709
Terrance McKinneyNow 1661
If they win+14→ 1675
If they lose-10→ 1651

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1695 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1671 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

6.46
Sig. strikes / min
6.53
53%
Strike accuracy
56%
3.55
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.45
62%
Strike defense
43%
1.33
Takedown avg.
3.31
9%
Takedown accuracy
0%
73%
Takedown defense
73%
0.31
Submission avg.
2.07

Trajectory

King GreenTerrance McKinney
160016501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

13 (36%)
KO/TKO
9 (50%)
10 (28%)
Submission
9 (50%)
13 (36%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

King Green60%
Terrance McKinney 40%Elo baseline: 59%

The Combat Edge model makes King Green a 60% favorite over Terrance McKinney in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).

King Green holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1723 to 1661, a 62-point edge.

King Green enters on a 4-fight win streak.

King Green finishes 64% of wins inside the distance, Terrance McKinney 100%.

Terrance McKinney carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.