Kleber Koike vs Luke Riley
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
36-9-1Record14-0-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"Height5'9"
70.5"Reach69"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Bonsai Jiu-Jitsu· 1685 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamNext Generation MMA Liverpool
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1772
If they lose-12→ 1748
If they win+16→ 1771
If they lose-16→ 1739
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1685 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1549 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Kleber KoikeLuke Riley
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Kleber Koike53%
Luke Riley 47%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Kleber Koike a 53% favorite over Luke Riley in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1760 vs 1755), separated by just 5 points.
Luke Riley enters on a 10-fight win streak.
Kleber Koike finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Luke Riley 71%.
Kleber Koike carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.